| 2006 |
Assessing the IDF in Lebanon, August 14, 2006
Hamas and Hizbullah: A New Kind of "Resistance"?, July 17, 2006
Assessing the IDF in Lebanon, July 3, 2006
Iran's Strike-Back Capabilities & Options, April 24, 2006
Waiting for the Imam: Ahmadinejad, Ayatollah Mesbah-Yazdi and the Hojjatiyya, March 27, 2006
The Kuwait Succession Crisis and the New Leadership, February 27, 2006
Iran’s Nuclear Program: Are there any Good Options?, January 30, 2006
The Future of Kadima After Ariel Sharon, January 23, 2006
|
| 2005 |
Israel's Political Earthquakes, December 5, 2005
Constitutional Calculus in Iraq: From Here to October 15, September 19, 2005
|
| 2004 |
Najaf and the Problem of Sacred Sites in War, June 28, 2004
Iraq’s Interim Government: Part 2: Who’s Who, June 28, 2004
|
| 2003 |
The Insurgency After Saddam Hussein, December 12, 2003
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Democratization? What is it and How it is Done?, November 28, 2003
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Saudi Reckoning, November 14, 2003
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Ramadan 1424, October 31, 2003
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The
New Iraqi Army:
Rectifying a Mistake?, October
3, 2003
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Iraq’s
New Cabinet: Problems and Personalities, September 12, 2003
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A
New War: Insurgents’ New, Coordinated
Tactics,
August 29, 2003
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Guerrilla
War in Iraq: Some Lessons, Part II,
August 8, 2003
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Guerrilla
War in Iraq: Some Lessons, Part I, July
25, 2003
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Iraq’s
New Governing Council: A Profile, July 11, 2003
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The
Ras al-Khaima Succession Crisis, July 4, 2003
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The
Attempted Coup in Mauritania, June 13, 2003
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Competing
to Lead Iraq’s Shi‘a: A Guide, Part 2,
May 30, 2003
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Competing
to Lead Iraq’s Shi‘a: A Guide, Part 1,
May 16, 2003
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The
Northern Mosaic: Peoples and Faiths of N. Iraq, Pt. 2,
May 2, 2003
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The
Northern Mosaic: Peoples and Faiths of N. Iraq, Pt.1,
April 18, 2003
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War
Beyond the Armchair, April 4, 2003
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Opening
Guns, March 7, 2003
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Modern
Iraqi History and the Day After: Part 2, March
7, 2003
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Locked & Loaded:
Despite European Objections, War is Imminent,
February 21, 2003
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Governing
Iraq: Modern History and "The Day After", Part
1, February 21, 2003
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What
Kind of Coalition?: Ariel Sharon & the 16th Knesset,
February 7, 2003
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Saudi
Arabia’s Reform Talk: How Real is It?,
January 24, 2003
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Iran’s
Student Upheavals: What Happens Next?, January
10, 2003
|
| December
2002 |
Concealing
WMD: What Iraq Might Be Hiding, December 13,
2002
|
| November
2002 |
The
Battle for Baghdad?: The Urban Warfare Question,
November 22, 2002
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The
AKP: Turkey and Islamic Politics, November 4,
2002
|
| October
2002 |
Collateral
Damage? What Will War Provoke in Muslim World?,
October 25, 2002
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How,
and How Well, Will Iraq’s Armed Forces Fight?,
October 4, 2002
|
| September
2002 |
Generals
and Civilians: Iraq Debate Awakens Older Issues of Military/Civilian
Decisionmaking, September 13, 2002
|
| August
2002 |
| Coming soon! |
| July
2002 |
Turkey’s
Political Crisis: The DSP Unravels, July 12,
2002
|
| June
2002 |
Intelligence
Failures: Some Historical Lessons, Part 2, June
28, 2002
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Intelligence
Failures: Some Historical Lessons, Part 1, June 14,
2002
|
| May
2002 |
The
Indian and Pakistani Nuclear Arsenals, May 31, 2002
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Bahrain/Algeria/Tunisia:,
May 17, 2002
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Iraq:
Recognizing the Military Problems of a Campaign,
May 3, 2002
|
| April
2002 |
Suicide
Bombing as a Problem in Asymmetric Warfare, April
19, 2002
|
Has
Sharon Saved Saddam? Israeli Offensive
has Disrupted US Efforts to Forge Coalition on Iraq,
April 5, 2002
|
Blundering
into a Quagmire: Does Israel's Operation Make Military
Sense?, April 5, 2002
|
| March
2002 |
Thinking
About Options in Iraq: Some Key Questions, Part 1,
March 22, 2002
|
The
Saudi Peace Initiative: What Is And Isn't New, March
15, 2002
|
| February
2002 |
The
Kingdom of Bahrain: The Constitutional Changes, February
22, 2002
|
Bahrain's
Rulers, February 22, 2002
|
Who
Killed Elie Hobeika?, February 8, 2002
|
| January
2002 |
The
Saudis' Dilemma, January 25, 2002
|
What
Would the US Lose if it Left Saudi Arabia?, January
25, 2002
|
The
Man at the Center: Saudi Crown Prince 'Abdullah,
January 25, 2002
|
The
Last War and the Next: Is Somalia Next? Part 1,
January 11, 2002
|
A
Who‘s Who of Somali Players, January 11, 2002
|
| December
2001 |
The
Last War and the Next One: Lessons to Learn and Not Learn,
1, December 28, 2001
|
The
Pakistani Conundrum, December 14, 2001
|
| November
2001 |
The
Soviet and US Wars in Afghanistan: Why They Differed,, November
30, 2001
|
Background
of the "Northern Alliance", November
16, 2001
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Patience
for the Long Haul, November
2 , 2001
|
| October
2001 |
What
Kind of War? Part 3: The Special Operations Dimension, October
19, 2001
|
Targeting
the Taliban, October 5, 2001
|
The
Terror Attacks: What Kind of Muslims Wrote the Letter?,
October 5, 2001
|
Israel
and Palestine: A Changed Dynamic, October 5, 2001
|
Preparations
for a Nearly Invisible Campaign?, October 5, 2001
|
Bright
Star is Outshined, October 5, 2001
|
The
Strange "Amir al-Mu‘minin" of the Taliban:
Mullah Mohammad 'Umar, October 5, 2001
|
The
Once and Future King? Mohammad Zahir Shah, October
5, 2001
|
A
Delicate Balance, October 5, 2001
|
As
noted last time, The Estimate does not intend to
traffic in some of the wilder rumors circulating in a time
of great international tension, October 5, 2001
|
What
Kind of War?: Part 2: The Afghanistan Syndrome,
October 5, 2001
|
| September
2001 |
The
Terror Attacks: Trying to Get at the Whys, September
21, 2001
|
The
Death of Ahmad Shah Mas'oud: Coincidence or Part of a Plan?,
September 21, 2001
|
What
Kind of War? Part 1: Who is the Enemy?, September
21, 2001
|
Misunderstanding
America, September 21, 2001
|
Coffeehouse
Gossip , September 21, 2001
|
Seeking
Focus, September 21, 2001
|
Crisis
Transforms Israel-Palestine Conflict, But What Now?,
September 21, 2001
|
The
Operations Man: Ayman al-Zawahiri, September 21,
2001
|
Israel‘s
Labor Party: The Leadership Mess and the Future,
September 7, 2001
|
| August
2001 |
: Mismatch
Between Israeli and Palestinian Tactics is a Classic
Case of the Problems of "Asymmetric Warfare",
August 24, 2001
|
Gunboat
Diplomacy in the Caspian?, August 3, 2001
|
| July
2001 |
Abu
Musa and the Tumbs: The Dispute That Won't Go Away, Part
Two, July 24, 2001
|
| June
2001 |
Abu
Musa and the Tumbs: The Dispute That Won't Go Away, Part
One, June 15, 2001
|
: Renewal
of Clashes in Kabylie Poses a New Problem for Bouteflika,
June 1, 2001
|
| May
2001 |
Lebanon's
Syria Debate: Jumblatt Continues
Critique as Tlas Comments on Sfeir Provoke Controversy,
May 18, 2001
|
The
Kabylie Erupts: Algeria's Berbers Are Heard From, May
4, 2001
|
| April
2001 |
Preparing
for the Election: How Indispensable is Khatami?, April
20, 2001
|
The
Bahrain-Qatar Border Dispute: The World Court Decision,
Part II, April
6, 2001
|
| March
2001 |
The
Bahrain-Qatar Border Dispute: The World Court Decision,
Part I, March
23, 2001
|
Did
Iraq Test a Nuclear Device in 1989?, Do Israeli Submarines
Carry Nuclear Missiles?, March 9, 2001
|
| February
2001 |
Back
to Baghdad: Rethinking Iraq Policy, February 23,
2001
|
, Will
New PM Be a Provocateur, a Transitional Figure, or a
De Gaulle?,
February 9, 2001
|
| January
2001 |
The
Judiciary Strikes Back: Harsh Sentences and New Prosecutions
Mark Renewed Iranian Hardline Offensive,
January 26, 2001
|
Saddam:
Still Dead and Living in Baghdad, January
12, 2000
|
|
December
2000 |
Bahraini
Political Reform: An Elected Parliament of Sorts?, December
29, 2000
|
Iraq:
Testing the Waters in Kurdistan?, December
15, 2000
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November
2000 |
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October
2000 |
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September
2000 |
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August
2000 |
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July
2000 |
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June
2000 |
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May 2000 |
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April 2000 |
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March
2000 |
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February
2000 |
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January
2000 |
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December
1999 |
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November
1999 |
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October
1999 |
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September
1999 |
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August
1999 |
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July
1999 |
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June
1999 |
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May
1999 |
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April
1999 |
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March
1999 |
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February
1999 |
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January
1999 |
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December
1998 |
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1998 |
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1998 |
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